Friday, January 13, 2012

Brent rises above $112 on supply fears; debt sales support


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SINGAPORE: Brent crude rose above $112 a barrel on Friday, boosted by worries over supply disruption from Nigeria, while easing fears on the euro zone debt crisis after positive demand in Spanish and Italian debt sales supported sentiment.
But gains were capped by a report that a proposed European Union embargo on imports of Iranian crude would be phased in over six months.
Brent crude rose 89 cents to $112.15 a barrel by 0725 GMT after rising more than a $1 to hit an intra-day high of $112.50. Prices were on track for a 1 percent drop this week.
US oil was up 87 cents at $99.97 per barrel, after touching a high of $100.19 earlier in the session, but was headed for a 1.5 per cent drop this week.
“Iran is perhaps a longer-term issue, meaning that it is not going to cause an immediate supply disruption,” said Victor Shum of energy consulting firm Purvin & Gertz.
“The more immediate concern is the oil workers’ strike in Nigeria, as that is more likely to result in real supply disruption.”
One of Nigeria’s main trade unions said talks with President Goodluck Jonathan over the government’s removal of publicly popular fuel subsidies were ‘fruitful’ and ongoing, but strikes would continue until an agreement was reached.
Nigeria produces more than two million barrels of crude oil per day and is a key supplier to the United States, Europe and Asia.
“There are more upside risks due to geopolitical issues,” said Shum who projected that US oil prices would hover around $100-$105 a barrel range for most of the month, with Brent having a $10 premium over US oil.
IRAN EYED
Oil prices have been on the rise for weeks due to Iran’s threat to shut down the key Strait of Hormuz oil shipping lane, in response to sanctions over its nuclear program.
US allies in Asia and Europe said they would support Washington’s campaign to cut Iran’s oil exports, but fear of self-inflicted economic pain is tempering enthusiasm for such an embargo.
The United States also slapped sanctions on China’s state-run Zhuhai Zhenrong Corp — said to be Iran’s top supplier of refined petroleum products — as it sought to impress on Beijing and Tehran its resolve to increase economic pressure over Iran’s nuclear program.
But India will keep doing business with Tehran, a senior Indian cabinet minister said on Thursday.
In other markets, Asian shares rose to a one-month high and the euro clung near its strongest in a week as strong demand in Spanish and Italian debt sales tempered risk aversion ahead of another auction from Rome later in the day.